Date of Award

Spring 5-31-2026

Document Type

Thesis (Undergraduate)

Department

Quantitative Social Science

First Advisor

Herbert Chang

Second Advisor

Bryan Bollinger

Abstract

Utility-scale battery storage is accelerating at an unprecedented pace as the world increasingly relies on renewable energies to power grids. Demand for data centers has produced record-high electricity demand, and utility-scale batteries are becoming crucial in supporting the grid and the variability of renewables. As a result, analysis on the efficacy of policy drivers of battery storage will provide the field with a roadmap for the most impactful policy solutions to spur battery storage deployment. This paper estimates the effect of state battery storage mandates on cumulative installed battery capacity using a staggered difference-in-differences (DiD) design following Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021), which accommodates heterogeneous treatment effects across adoption cohorts and avoids the negative-weighting bias that plagues two-way fixed effects (TWFE) estimators in staggered adoption settings. I construct a balanced panel of all 48 contiguous U.S. states (excluding Oregon due to its virtually zero mandate) from 2010 to 2025 and find that mandates statistically significantly increase 1 + cumulative deployed capacity by approximately 2.37 log units or 973.96% relative to the counterfactual of no mandate. This result is also corroborated when analyzing cumulative battery capacity normalized by average state electricity consumption, showing a 3.94% increase in battery MW share of consumption for treated states. Furthermore, I find that mandate effects have slow dynamic effects materializing over four years post signing, more stringent mandates produce larger effects, and mandates have no detectable effect on battery duration.

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